COMMITTEE ON LEGISLATIVE RESEARCH
OVERSIGHT DIVISION
FISCAL NOTE
L.R. NO. 3072-04
BILL NO. SJR 37
SUBJECT: Constitutional Amendment: Gambling
TYPE: Original
DATE: March 9, 1998
FISCAL SUMMARY
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON STATE FUNDS Net Effect on All State Funds
FUND AFFECTED
FY 1999
FY 2000
FY 2001 General Revenue
$3,496,680 to
$7,035,253
$6,066,128 to
$12,132,254
$6,066,128 to
$12,132,254 Gaming Proceeds for
Education Fund
$27,012,596 to
$54,025,191
$46,307,307 to
$92,614,614
$46,307,307 to
$92,614,614 Gaming Commission
Fund
$8,402,050 to
$16,804,101
$14,403,515 to
$28,807,030
$14,403,515 to
$28,807,030 Blind Pension Fund
$25,375 to $50,750
$43,500 to $87,000
$43,500 to $87,000 School District Trust
Fund
$371,975 to $743,949
$637,671 to $1,275,341
$637,671 to $1,275,341 Conservation Fund
$46,497 to $92,994
$79,709 to $159,418
$79,709 to $159,418 Parks, Soil, and Water
Funds
$37,197 to $74,395
$63,767 to $127,534
$63,767 to $127,534 Total Estimated
$39,392,370 to
$78,826,633
$67,601,597 to
$135,203,191
$67,601,597 to
$135,203,191
Numbers within parentheses: ( ) indicate costs or losses
This fiscal note contains 6 pages.
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FEDERAL FUNDS | |||
FUND AFFECTED | FY 1999 | FY 2000 | FY 2001 |
None | |||
Total Estimated
Net Effect on All Federal Funds |
$0 | $0 | $0 |
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON LOCAL FUNDS | |||
FUND AFFECTED | FY 1999 | FY 2000 | FY 2001 |
Local Government | $16,928,736 to $33,857,472 | $29,020,691 to $58,041,380 | $29,020,691 to $58,041,380 |
FISCAL ANALYSIS
ASSUMPTION
The Office of Administration, Budget and Planning assumes this proposal would not fiscally impact their agency.
The Attorney General's Office assumes unknown costs resulting from this proposal due to the possible future litigation.
The Gaming Commission (GAM) estimates that under a worst case scenario, five properties, with a total of ten riverboats, could be forced to close if this constitutional amendment is not approved. GAM estimates these riverboats would generate total tax revenues of $193,244,571 in FY98, which includes $102,905,127 in adjusted gross receipts tax, $57,614,060 in admissions tax, $8,306,231 in income tax, $7,301,328 in sale and use tax, and $17,117,825 in property tax. GAM notes that they are unable to predict the exact amount of adjusted gross receipts tax that could be lost because it is probable that some of the losses would be replaced by an increase in market share and revenue for the remaining riverboats.
GAM further notes there would be a loss of 8,422 jobs, and their estimated fiscal impact does not ASSUMPTION (continued)
include costs for those persons seeking unemployment compensation. Additionally, no consideration was given to the multiplier effect of dollars recirculating through the Missouri economy, and the reduction in sales for businesses that supply the riverboats with goods and services.
Oversight assumes this proposal would require the Secretary of State's Office to certify the proposal to local election authorities for inclusion on the November 1998 general election ballot and to publish full text of the proposal in selected newspapers throughout the state. Costs are estimated at $1,330 per inch, which is based on actual publication costs that were incurred for the November 1996 election, for 3 printings, or $3,990 per newspaper column inch. Oversight estimates 10.5 column inches would be needed for the publications at a total cost of $41,895.
Oversight further assumes that if this constitutional amendment is adopted, the state could avoid losses of revenue of up to approximately $193,244,571 annually. However, such amounts are speculative due to the fact that riverboats could be relocated to fall within legal boundaries or current customers of the properties in question could choose to patronize other riverboats. Due to these uncertainties, Oversight has reflected continued revenue of $96,622,286 (50% of Gaming's estimates) to $193,244,571 as an anticipated fiscal impact of this proposal.
FISCAL IMPACT - State Government | FY 1999 | FY 2000 | FY 2001 |
(7 Mo.) | |||
GENERAL REVENUE | |||
Income | |||
Income tax | $2,422,651 | $4,153,116 | $4,153,116 |
to $4,845,301 | to $8,306,231 | to $8,306,231 | |
Sales and use tax | $1,115,924 | $1,913,012 | $1,913,012 |
to $2,231,847 | to $3,826,023 | to $3,826,023 | |
Cost-Secretary of State | |||
Newspaper Advertisements | ($41,895) | $0 | $0 |
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON |
$3,496,680 | $6,066,128 | $6,066,128 |
GENERAL REVENUE FUND | to 7,035,253 | to 12,132,254 | to 12,132,254 |
FISCAL IMPACT - State Government | FY 1999 | FY 2000 | FY 2001 |
(7 Mo.) | |||
GAMING PROCEEDS FOR EDUCATION | |||
Income | |||
Gaming Tax | $27,012,596 | $46,307,307 | $46,307,307 |
to 54,025,191 | to 92,614,614 | to 92,614,614 | |
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON | |||
GAMING PROCEEDS FOR | $27,012,596 | $46,307,307 | $46,307,307 |
EDUCATION FUND | to 54,025,191 | to 92,614,614 | to 92,614,614 |
GAMING COMMISSION FUND | |||
Income | |||
Admission Fees | $8,402,050 | $14,403,515 | $14,403,515 |
to 16,804,101 | to 28,807,030 | to 28,807,030 | |
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON |
$8,402,050 | $14,403,515 | $14,403,515 |
GAMING COMMISSION FUND | to 16,804,101 | to 28,807,030 | to 28,807,030 |
BLIND PENSION FUND | |||
Income | |||
Property tax | $25,375 | $43,500 | $43,500 |
to $50,750 | to $87,000 | to $87,000 | |
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT |
$25,375 | $43,500 | $43,500 |
ON BLIND PENSION FUND | to $50,750 | to $87,000 | to $87,000 |
SCHOOL DISTRICT TRUST FUND | |||
Income | |||
Sales and use tax | $371,975 | $637,671 | $637,671 |
to $743,949 | to $1,275,341 | to $1,275,341 | |
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON |
$371,975 | $637,671 | $637,671 |
SCHOOL DISTRICT TRUST FUND | to $743,949 | to $1,275,341 | to $1,275,341 |
FISCAL IMPACT - State Government | FY 1999 | FY 2000 | FY 2001 |
(7 Mo.) | |||
CONSERVATION FUND | |||
Income | |||
Sales and use tax | $46,497 | $79,709 | $79,709 |
to $92,994 | to $159,418 | to $159,418 | |
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT |
$46,497 | $79,709 | $79,709 |
ON CONSERVATION FUND | to $92,994 | to $159,418 | to $159,418 |
PARKS AND SOIL AND WATER FUNDS | |||
Income | |||
Sales and use tax | $37,197 | $63,767 | $63,767 |
to $74,395 | to $127,534 | to $127,534 | |
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON |
$37,197 | $63,767 | $63,767 |
PARK AND SOIL AND WATER FUNDS | to $74,395 | to $127,534 | to $127,534 |
FISCAL IMPACT - Local Government | FY 1999 | FY 2000 | FY 2001 |
(7 Mo.) | |||
POLITICAL SUBDIVISIONS | |||
Income | |||
Gaming Tax | $3,001,400 | $5,145,257 | $5,145,257 |
to 6,002,799 | to 10,290,513 | to 10,290,513 | |
Admission Fees | $8,402,050 | $14,403,515 | $14,403,515 |
to 16,804,101 | to 28,807,030 | to 28,807,030 | |
Property Tax | $4,967,324 | $8,515,413 | $8,515,413 |
to 9,934,648 | to 17,030,825 | to 17,030,825 | |
Sales and use tax | $557,962 | $956,506 | $956,506 |
to $1,115,924 | to $1,913,012 | to $1,913,012 | |
FISCAL IMPACT - Local Government | FY 1999 | FY 2000 | FY 2001 |
(7 Mo.) | |||
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT |
$16,928,736 | $29,020,691 | $29,020,691 |
ON LOCAL GOVERNMENT | to 33,857,472 | to 58,041,380 | to 58,041,380 |
FISCAL IMPACT - Small Business | |||
No direct fiscal impact to small businesses would be expected as a result of this proposal.
DESCRIPTION
This proposed constitutional amendment would authorize excursion gambling boats in artificial basins created prior to the date the amendment is adopted which are located within one thousand feet of the closest edge of the main channel of either the Mississippi River or the Missouri River. Facilities located within an artificial basin on the date the amendment is adopted may be expanded within that basin as authorized by law.
This legislation is not federally mandated, would not duplicate any other program and would not require additional capital improvements or rental space.
SOURCES OF INFORMATION
Gaming Commission
Office of Administration
Budget and Planning
Attorney General's Office
Jeanne Jarrett, CPA
Director
March 9, 1998