COMMITTEE ON LEGISLATIVE RESEARCH

OVERSIGHT DIVISION



FISCAL NOTE



L.R. No.: 1049-01

Bill No.: SB 286

Subject: Education, Elementary and Secondary; Saint Louis

Type: Original

Date: January 27, 2003




FISCAL SUMMARY



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE FUND
FUND AFFECTED FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006
General Revenue $0 ($527,188 to

$741,410)

($532,460 to $748,824)
Total Estimated

Net Effect on

General Revenue

Fund*

$0 ($527,188 to $741,410) ($532,460 to

$748,824)

*This amount could be offset partially by a decrease in school attendance, resulting in reduced state aid

ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON OTHER STATE FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006
State School Moneys $0 $0 $0
Total Estimated

Net Effect on Other

State Funds

$0 $0 $0



Numbers within parentheses: ( ) indicate costs or losses.

This fiscal note contains 5 pages.











ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FEDERAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006
Total Estimated

Net Effect on All

Federal Funds

$0 $0 $0



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON LOCAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006
St Louis Public Schools* UNKNOWN UNKNOWN UNKNOWN

*Expected to exceed $100,000



FISCAL ANALYSIS



ASSUMPTION



Officials from the Department of Social Services - Division of Youth Services (DYS) stated that in FY 00, 55 youth under the age of 16 were committed to DYS for truancy. According to Kids Count Missouri, the annual high school dropout rate for the 1998-99 school year was 4.8%, or approximately 12,457 dropouts. According to the 1999 Juvenile Court Statistics Report, there were 6,056 referrals for truancy made to the juvenile courts involving youth under the age of 16 years. Based on state averages, it is estimated that St Louis City had 566 court referrals for truancy. If St. Louis City adopts a resolution to increase compulsory school attendance to age 17, DYS estimates 17 - 24 additional youth under age 17 could be committed annually to DYS from the area. DYS expects to be able to absorb this increase within the existing budget.



Oversight reviewed the MODESE Annual Report of School Data and the number of high school dropouts in St Louis City for the year 2002 was 847 (7.8%), compared with a state dropout rate of 3.8%. Based on that data, the estimate of number of youth that might be committed annually to DYS could be somewhat higher than original estimates, but Oversight assumes the increase could still be absorbed.



Officials from the Department of Social Services - Division of Family Services (DFS) indicated that requiring children to attend school until age 17 would result in additional children ASSUMPTION (continued)



being reported to the Child Abuse/Neglect (CA/N) Hotline for education neglect since a parent's failure to send a child to school is a reportable condition; however, DFS anticipates the financial impact to the agency of additional calls and followup can be absorbed with existing resources.



Officials from the Department of Elementary and Secondary Education (DESE) indicated that a cost estimate could not be determined for this proposal. More students may stay in school, thus raising the district's average daily attendance which would general more basic state aid to

the district; however, there is no way to determine number of 17-year-old students staying in school that would have otherwise dropped out. Even if they stay in school, attendance may be poor which could offset an increase in basic state aid to the district.



Officials from the Secretary of State's Office (SOS) assumed the rules, regulations and forms issued by the Department of Elementary and Secondary Education could require as many as 6 pages in the Code of State Regulations. For any given rule, roughly half again as many pages are published in the Missouri Register as in the Code because cost statements, fiscal notes and the like are not repeated in the Code. These costs are estimated. The estimated cost of a page in the Missouri Register is $23. The estimated cost of a page in the Code of State Regulations is $27. The actual costs could be more or less the SOS's estimated cost of $369 for FY 2004. The impact of this legislation in future years is unknown and depends upon the frequency and length of rules, filed, amended, rescinded or withdrawn.



Oversight assumes the SOS could absorb the costs of printing and distributing regulations related to this proposal. If multiple bills pass which require the printing and distribution of regulations at substantial costs, the SOS could request funding through the appropriation process. Any decisions to raise fees to defray costs would likely be made in subsequent fiscal years.



Officials from the St Louis Public Schools estimate the initial number of students impacted by this legislation would be 150 and could increase to 500 students. The projected state payments, based on 150 for school years 2004-2005 and 2005-2006, are as follows:



2004-2005 2005-2006



150 Students Without At Risk $527,188 $532,460

150 Students With At Risk $741,410 $748,824



Oversight assumes there would be no cost until FY 2005 since the resolution to establish compulsory attendance shall take effect no earlier than the school year next following the school year during which the resolution is adopted.



FISCAL IMPACT - State Government FY 2004

(10 Mo.)

FY 2005 FY 2006
GENERAL REVENUE
Cost - Increased transfers to State School Moneys Fund



$0
($527,188 to $741,410) ($532,460 to $748,824)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE FUND*

$0
($527,188 to $741,410) ($532,460 to $748,824)
STATE SCHOOL MONEYS FUND
Income - Increased transfers from General Revenue Fund

$0
$527,188 to $741,410 $532,460 to $748,824)
Cost - Increased distributions to St Louis Public School District

$0
($527,188 to $741,410) ($532,460 to $848,824)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON STATE SCHOOL MONEYS FUND*

$0


$0


$0


FISCAL IMPACT - Local Government FY 2004

(10 Mo.)

FY 2005 FY 2006
SCHOOL DISTRICTS
Income - Increased State Aid to St Louis Public School District



$0
$527,188 to $741,410 $532,460 to $748,824
Cost - Decreased School Attendance* $0 (UNKNOWN) (UNKNOWN)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON SCHOOL DISTRICTS**

$0


UNKNOWN


UNKNOWN

**Expected to Exceed $100,000

* Increase in state aid attributed to additional students enrolled could be partially offset by decreased attendance.



FISCAL IMPACT - Small Business



No direct fiscal impact to small businesses would be expected as a result of this proposal.



DESCRIPTION



This proposal allows metropolitan school districts (the Board of St. Louis Public Schools) the power to raise the compulsory attendance age to seventeen, whereas in all other school districts the compulsory attendance age is sixteen. Such a resolution changing the compulsory attendance age can only take effect after the school year during which the resolution is passed. The act also allows school boards to raise the mandatory age for part-time attendance from fifteen to sixteen.



The proposal also exempts the parents of home school students above the age of sixteen in the city of St. Louis from the requirements that specify hours of instruction and maintaining certain records (i.e. written record, academic samples, evaluations). Also, the proposal allows home school educators of students over sixteen in the city of St. Louis to only supply a written statement that the pupil is attending home school as a defense against any prosecution for educational neglect or violation of the compulsory attendance law.



This legislation is not federally mandated, would not duplicate any other program and would not require additional capital improvements or rental space.



SOURCES OF INFORMATION



Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Office of Secretary of State

Administrative Rules Division

Department of Social Services

Division of Youth Services

Division of Family Services

St Louis Public Schools





Mickey Wilson, CPA

Director

January 27, 2003